Blog
Software integration testing for Bayesian models
Developing stochastic software that works
Advice on doing a PhD
Possibly not generalisable, carries no warranty, etc.
Randomisation as modesty
And optimisation as hubris
Estimating risk group proportions: informal discussion
A summary, some potentially useful takeaways, and reflections on the paper "Spatio-temporal estimates of HIV risk group proportions for adolescent girls and young women across 13 priority countries in sub-Saharan Africa"
Staged feedback
Algorithms to live by: multi-fidelity Bayesian optimisation
Representing uncertainty using significant figures
We forecast 43,279 new cases
Why you are not a loser
A School of Life video but add unnecessary maths notation
Modernism as subjective Bayesianism
Mistakenly trying to understand artistic movements
Defence from extinction and log-odds
Is there a natural way to think about extinction probabilities?
Some thoughts on reporting a (posterior) distribution
In other words, spending too much time on Twitter
Fast disconnected ICAR in Stan
Using the segment feature in Stan to implement the ICAR model
Fermi estimation as hierarchical modelling
A note from after the Gaussian Process Summer School