Estimating risk group proportions: informal discussion

A summary, some potentially useful takeaways, and reflections on the paper "Spatio-temporal estimates of HIV risk group proportions for adolescent girls and young women across 13 priority countries in sub-Saharan Africa"

Staged feedback

Algorithms to live by: multi-fidelity Bayesian optimisation

Representing uncertainty using significant figures

We forecast 43,279 new cases

Why you are not a loser

A School of Life video but add unnecessary maths notation

Modernism as subjective Bayesianism

Mistakenly trying to understand artistic movements

Defence from extinction and log-odds

Is there a natural way to think about extinction probabilities?

Some thoughts on reporting a (posterior) distribution

In other words, spending too much time on Twitter

Fast disconnected ICAR in Stan

Using the segment feature in Stan to implement the ICAR model

Fermi estimation as hierarchical modelling

A note from after the Gaussian Process Summer School

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